Polymarket Playbook
Tips for daily predictions
Here’s my rulebook to Polymarket, a prediction market that uses Polygon, a US dollar equivalent crypto, founded by Shayne Coplan. Follow every step to the letter -
01. Put 75% of your Poly money on a single trade with 75% odds.
02. Pick a bet that’s about to have an outcome in the next day or two.
03. Don’t get bored waiting months for an outcome. Pull out once you see a 15% swing. Move on to the next sugar rush.
04. Always take your money out at 99%, in case a resolution is disputed.
05. Kamala/Trump debate hand shake prediction, for instance, could get messy if there’s no debate at all.
06. Comment with a proof-of-trend link to get your yes/no to uptick. Then comment the opposite sentiment.
07. Avoid Mention Markets (unless you obtained a copy of the speech in advance).
08. Don’t bet on Elon.
09. Polymarket users are (mostly) crypto-bros who strongly believe in Elon and Trump. Always bet against them.
10. Your goal is to take money away from MAGA and give it to Vote Save America.
11. Try to chat with heavy hitters like Fredi9999 and 50-Pence in the comments section.
12. Don’t forget sports, chess bets are hot.
13. Join “by the end of month” bets at the end of the month.
14. Take out 80% of your stake if you’re about to go to sleep and a resolution is due in next few hours.
15. Move all your cash to the next bet as quickly as possible.
16. Ask around, DM people on the ground for inside information on local events, like wars in the Middle East.
17. Two weeks before a presidential election, bet on Ohio, Texas, Florida and other unlikely states that might go blue, but probably won’t, to ride the relative swing from 10% yes to 45% yes.
18. Pull out of every US state two days before election day.
19. Don’t forget to ride the Popular Vote Winner for awhile.
20. Bet small amounts on 1% to 5% odds, in case they swing wildly, just before due date. For example: Will Ex-Amazon VP reveal who seduced his wife?.
21. Always put money on HBO related wagers. It’s easy to find out the plot cause so many people have already seen the movie.
22. Sell all your NFT “art” and move the funds to Polygon USD.
The writer’s Polymarket history is public and does not reflect his own advice. Alas, you don’t need a VPN to check how much money you lost.
(Posted in reaction to Pavel Durov released in August?)
🧃🧃
